Regression (OLS) - overview
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Regression (OLS) | Goodness of fit test | One sample $z$ test for the mean | Chi-squared test for the relationship between two categorical variables | Paired sample $t$ test | Friedman test |
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Independent variables | Independent variable | Independent variable | Independent /column variable | Independent variable | Independent/grouping variable | |
One or more quantitative of interval or ratio level and/or one or more categorical with independent groups, transformed into code variables | None | None | One categorical with $I$ independent groups ($I \geqslant 2$) | 2 paired groups | One within subject factor ($\geq 2$ related groups) | |
Dependent variable | Dependent variable | Dependent variable | Dependent /row variable | Dependent variable | Dependent variable | |
One quantitative of interval or ratio level | One categorical with $J$ independent groups ($J \geqslant 2$) | One quantitative of interval or ratio level | One categorical with $J$ independent groups ($J \geqslant 2$) | One quantitative of interval or ratio level | One of ordinal level | |
Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | |
$F$ test for the complete regression model:
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| H0: $\mu = \mu_0$
Here $\mu$ is the population mean, and $\mu_0$ is the population mean according to the null hypothesis. | H0: there is no association between the row and column variable More precisely, if there are $I$ independent random samples of size $n_i$ from each of $I$ populations, defined by the independent variable:
| H0: $\mu = \mu_0$
Here $\mu$ is the population mean of the difference scores, and $\mu_0$ is the population mean of the difference scores according to the null hypothesis, which is usually 0. A difference score is the difference between the first score of a pair and the second score of a pair. | H0: the population scores in any of the related groups are not systematically higher or lower than the population scores in any of the other related groups
Usually the related groups are the different measurement points. Several different formulations of the null hypothesis can be found in the literature, and we do not agree with all of them. Make sure you (also) learn the one that is given in your text book or by your teacher. | |
Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | |
$F$ test for the complete regression model:
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| H1 two sided: $\mu \neq \mu_0$ H1 right sided: $\mu > \mu_0$ H1 left sided: $\mu < \mu_0$ | H1: there is an association between the row and column variable More precisely, if there are $I$ independent random samples of size $n_i$ from each of $I$ populations, defined by the independent variable:
| H1 two sided: $\mu \neq \mu_0$ H1 right sided: $\mu > \mu_0$ H1 left sided: $\mu < \mu_0$ | H1: the population scores in some of the related groups are systematically higher or lower than the population scores in other related groups | |
Assumptions | Assumptions | Assumptions | Assumptions | Assumptions | Assumptions | |
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Test statistic | Test statistic | Test statistic | Test statistic | Test statistic | Test statistic | |
$F$ test for the complete regression model:
Note 2: if there is only one independent variable in the model ($K = 1$), the $F$ test for the complete regression model is equivalent to the two sided $t$ test for $\beta_1.$ | $X^2 = \sum{\frac{(\mbox{observed cell count} - \mbox{expected cell count})^2}{\mbox{expected cell count}}}$
Here the expected cell count for one cell = $N \times \pi_j$, the observed cell count is the observed sample count in that same cell, and the sum is over all $J$ cells. | $z = \dfrac{\bar{y} - \mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{N}}$
Here $\bar{y}$ is the sample mean, $\mu_0$ is the population mean according to the null hypothesis, $\sigma$ is the population standard deviation, and $N$ is the sample size. The denominator $\sigma / \sqrt{N}$ is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of $\bar{y}$. The $z$ value indicates how many of these standard deviations $\bar{y}$ is removed from $\mu_0$. | $X^2 = \sum{\frac{(\mbox{observed cell count} - \mbox{expected cell count})^2}{\mbox{expected cell count}}}$
Here for each cell, the expected cell count = $\dfrac{\mbox{row total} \times \mbox{column total}}{\mbox{total sample size}}$, the observed cell count is the observed sample count in that same cell, and the sum is over all $I \times J$ cells. | $t = \dfrac{\bar{y} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{N}}$
Here $\bar{y}$ is the sample mean of the difference scores, $\mu_0$ is the population mean of the difference scores according to the null hypothesis, $s$ is the sample standard deviation of the difference scores, and $N$ is the sample size (number of difference scores). The denominator $s / \sqrt{N}$ is the standard error of the sampling distribution of $\bar{y}$. The $t$ value indicates how many standard errors $\bar{y}$ is removed from $\mu_0$. | $Q = \dfrac{12}{N \times k(k + 1)} \sum R^2_i - 3 \times N(k + 1)$
Here $N$ is the number of 'blocks' (usually the subjects - so if you have 4 repeated measurements for 60 subjects, $N$ equals 60), $k$ is the number of related groups (usually the number of repeated measurements), and $R_i$ is the sum of ranks in group $i$. Remember that multiplication precedes addition, so first compute $\frac{12}{N \times k(k + 1)} \times \sum R^2_i$ and then subtract $3 \times N(k + 1)$. Note: if ties are present in the data, the formula for $Q$ is more complicated. | |
Sample standard deviation of the residuals $s$ | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | |
$\begin{aligned} s &= \sqrt{\dfrac{\sum (y_j - \hat{y}_j)^2}{N - K - 1}}\\ &= \sqrt{\dfrac{\mbox{sum of squares error}}{\mbox{degrees of freedom error}}}\\ &= \sqrt{\mbox{mean square error}} \end{aligned} $ | - | - | - | - | - | |
Sampling distribution of $F$ and of $t$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $X^2$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $z$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $X^2$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $t$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $Q$ if H0 were true | |
Sampling distribution of $F$:
| Approximately the chi-squared distribution with $J - 1$ degrees of freedom | Standard normal distribution | Approximately the chi-squared distribution with $(I - 1) \times (J - 1)$ degrees of freedom | $t$ distribution with $N - 1$ degrees of freedom | If the number of blocks $N$ is large, approximately the chi-squared distribution with $k - 1$ degrees of freedom.
For small samples, the exact distribution of $Q$ should be used. | |
Significant? | Significant? | Significant? | Significant? | Significant? | Significant? | |
$F$ test:
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| Two sided:
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| Two sided:
| If the number of blocks $N$ is large, the table with critical $X^2$ values can be used. If we denote $X^2 = Q$:
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$C\%$ confidence interval for $\beta_k$ and for $\mu_y$, $C\%$ prediction interval for $y_{new}$ | n.a. | $C\%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ | n.a. | $C\%$ confidence interval for $\mu$ | n.a. | |
Confidence interval for $\beta_k$:
| - | $\bar{y} \pm z^* \times \dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{N}}$
where the critical value $z^*$ is the value under the normal curve with the area $C / 100$ between $-z^*$ and $z^*$ (e.g. $z^*$ = 1.96 for a 95% confidence interval). The confidence interval for $\mu$ can also be used as significance test. | - | $\bar{y} \pm t^* \times \dfrac{s}{\sqrt{N}}$
where the critical value $t^*$ is the value under the $t_{N-1}$ distribution with the area $C / 100$ between $-t^*$ and $t^*$ (e.g. $t^*$ = 2.086 for a 95% confidence interval when df = 20). The confidence interval for $\mu$ can also be used as significance test. | - | |
Effect size | n.a. | Effect size | n.a. | Effect size | n.a. | |
Complete model:
| - | Cohen's $d$: Standardized difference between the sample mean and $\mu_0$: $$d = \frac{\bar{y} - \mu_0}{\sigma}$$ Cohen's $d$ indicates how many standard deviations $\sigma$ the sample mean $\bar{y}$ is removed from $\mu_0.$ | - | Cohen's $d$: Standardized difference between the sample mean of the difference scores and $\mu_0$: $$d = \frac{\bar{y} - \mu_0}{s}$$ Cohen's $d$ indicates how many standard deviations $s$ the sample mean of the difference scores $\bar{y}$ is removed from $\mu_0.$ | - | |
Visual representation | n.a. | Visual representation | n.a. | Visual representation | n.a. | |
Regression equations with: | - | - | - | |||
ANOVA table | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | |
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n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | Equivalent to | n.a. | |
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Example context | Example context | Example context | Example context | Example context | Example context | |
Can mental health be predicted from fysical health, economic class, and gender? | Is the proportion of people with a low, moderate, and high social economic status in the population different from $\pi_{low} = 0.2,$ $\pi_{moderate} = 0.6,$ and $\pi_{high} = 0.2$? | Is the average mental health score of office workers different from $\mu_0 = 50$? Assume that the standard deviation of the mental health scores in the population is $\sigma = 3.$ | Is there an association between economic class and gender? Is the distribution of economic class different between men and women? | Is the average difference between the mental health scores before and after an intervention different from $\mu_0 = 0$? | Is there a difference in depression level between measurement point 1 (pre-intervention), measurement point 2 (1 week post-intervention), and measurement point 3 (6 weeks post-intervention)? | |
SPSS | SPSS | n.a. | SPSS | SPSS | SPSS | |
Analyze > Regression > Linear...
| Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > Chi-square...
| - | Analyze > Descriptive Statistics > Crosstabs...
| Analyze > Compare Means > Paired-Samples T Test...
| Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > K Related Samples...
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Jamovi | Jamovi | n.a. | Jamovi | Jamovi | Jamovi | |
Regression > Linear Regression
| Frequencies > N Outcomes - $\chi^2$ Goodness of fit
| - | Frequencies > Independent Samples - $\chi^2$ test of association
| T-Tests > Paired Samples T-Test
| ANOVA > Repeated Measures ANOVA - Friedman
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Practice questions | Practice questions | Practice questions | Practice questions | Practice questions | Practice questions | |