Goodness of fit test - overview
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Goodness of fit test | McNemar's test | Logistic regression | Friedman test |
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Independent variable | Independent variable | Independent variables | Independent/grouping variable | |
None | 2 paired groups | One or more quantitative of interval or ratio level and/or one or more categorical with independent groups, transformed into code variables | One within subject factor ($\geq 2$ related groups) | |
Dependent variable | Dependent variable | Dependent variable | Dependent variable | |
One categorical with $J$ independent groups ($J \geqslant 2$) | One categorical with 2 independent groups | One categorical with 2 independent groups | One of ordinal level | |
Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | Null hypothesis | |
| Let's say that the scores on the dependent variable are scored 0 and 1. Then for each pair of scores, the data allow four options:
Other formulations of the null hypothesis are:
| Model chi-squared test for the complete regression model:
| H0: the population scores in any of the related groups are not systematically higher or lower than the population scores in any of the other related groups
Usually the related groups are the different measurement points. Several different formulations of the null hypothesis can be found in the literature, and we do not agree with all of them. Make sure you (also) learn the one that is given in your text book or by your teacher. | |
Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | Alternative hypothesis | |
| The alternative hypothesis H1 is that for each pair of scores, P(first score of pair is 0 while second score of pair is 1) $\neq$ P(first score of pair is 1 while second score of pair is 0). That is, the probability that a pair of scores switches from 0 to 1 is not the same as the probability that a pair of scores switches from 1 to 0. Other formulations of the alternative hypothesis are:
| Model chi-squared test for the complete regression model:
| H1: the population scores in some of the related groups are systematically higher or lower than the population scores in other related groups | |
Assumptions | Assumptions | Assumptions | Assumptions | |
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Test statistic | Test statistic | Test statistic | Test statistic | |
$X^2 = \sum{\frac{(\mbox{observed cell count} - \mbox{expected cell count})^2}{\mbox{expected cell count}}}$
Here the expected cell count for one cell = $N \times \pi_j$, the observed cell count is the observed sample count in that same cell, and the sum is over all $J$ cells. | $X^2 = \dfrac{(b - c)^2}{b + c}$
Here $b$ is the number of pairs in the sample for which the first score is 0 while the second score is 1, and $c$ is the number of pairs in the sample for which the first score is 1 while the second score is 0. | Model chi-squared test for the complete regression model:
The wald statistic can be defined in two ways:
Likelihood ratio chi-squared test for individual $\beta_k$:
| $Q = \dfrac{12}{N \times k(k + 1)} \sum R^2_i - 3 \times N(k + 1)$
Here $N$ is the number of 'blocks' (usually the subjects - so if you have 4 repeated measurements for 60 subjects, $N$ equals 60), $k$ is the number of related groups (usually the number of repeated measurements), and $R_i$ is the sum of ranks in group $i$. Remember that multiplication precedes addition, so first compute $\frac{12}{N \times k(k + 1)} \times \sum R^2_i$ and then subtract $3 \times N(k + 1)$. Note: if ties are present in the data, the formula for $Q$ is more complicated. | |
Sampling distribution of $X^2$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $X^2$ if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $X^2$ and of the Wald statistic if H0 were true | Sampling distribution of $Q$ if H0 were true | |
Approximately the chi-squared distribution with $J - 1$ degrees of freedom | If $b + c$ is large enough (say, > 20), approximately the chi-squared distribution with 1 degree of freedom. If $b + c$ is small, the Binomial($n$, $P$) distribution should be used, with $n = b + c$ and $P = 0.5$. In that case the test statistic becomes equal to $b$. | Sampling distribution of $X^2$, as computed in the model chi-squared test for the complete model:
| If the number of blocks $N$ is large, approximately the chi-squared distribution with $k - 1$ degrees of freedom.
For small samples, the exact distribution of $Q$ should be used. | |
Significant? | Significant? | Significant? | Significant? | |
| For test statistic $X^2$:
| For the model chi-squared test for the complete regression model and likelihood ratio chi-squared test for individual $\beta_k$:
| If the number of blocks $N$ is large, the table with critical $X^2$ values can be used. If we denote $X^2 = Q$:
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n.a. | n.a. | Wald-type approximate $C\%$ confidence interval for $\beta_k$ | n.a. | |
- | - | $b_k \pm z^* \times SE_{b_k}$ where the critical value $z^*$ is the value under the normal curve with the area $C / 100$ between $-z^*$ and $z^*$ (e.g. $z^*$ = 1.96 for a 95% confidence interval). | - | |
n.a. | n.a. | Goodness of fit measure $R^2_L$ | n.a. | |
- | - | $R^2_L = \dfrac{D_{null} - D_K}{D_{null}}$ There are several other goodness of fit measures in logistic regression. In logistic regression, there is no single agreed upon measure of goodness of fit. | - | |
n.a. | Equivalent to | n.a. | n.a. | |
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Example context | Example context | Example context | Example context | |
Is the proportion of people with a low, moderate, and high social economic status in the population different from $\pi_{low} = 0.2,$ $\pi_{moderate} = 0.6,$ and $\pi_{high} = 0.2$? | Does a tv documentary about spiders change whether people are afraid (yes/no) of spiders? | Can body mass index, stress level, and gender predict whether people get diagnosed with diabetes? | Is there a difference in depression level between measurement point 1 (pre-intervention), measurement point 2 (1 week post-intervention), and measurement point 3 (6 weeks post-intervention)? | |
SPSS | SPSS | SPSS | SPSS | |
Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > Chi-square...
| Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > 2 Related Samples...
| Analyze > Regression > Binary Logistic...
| Analyze > Nonparametric Tests > Legacy Dialogs > K Related Samples...
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Jamovi | Jamovi | Jamovi | Jamovi | |
Frequencies > N Outcomes - $\chi^2$ Goodness of fit
| Frequencies > Paired Samples - McNemar test
| Regression > 2 Outcomes - Binomial
| ANOVA > Repeated Measures ANOVA - Friedman
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Practice questions | Practice questions | Practice questions | Practice questions | |